Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.645966 0.840641 1.061141 1.326089 1.632548 1.972803 2.376030
2025-02-23 0.374343 0.609820 0.914167 1.320930 1.835378 2.450461 3.227374
2025-03-02 0.203985 0.432885 0.774435 1.280639 1.973683 2.854562 4.023859
2025-03-09 0.128587 0.354583 0.738869 1.358618 2.259559 3.455794 5.098485
2025-03-16 0.069759 0.268915 0.663020 1.357340 2.427610 3.907674 6.003102
2025-03-23 0.044764 0.234477 0.659837 1.460438 2.746591 4.574911 7.215979
2025-03-30 0.025979 0.197873 0.639521 1.527666 3.011768 5.175912 8.359482
2025-04-06 0.012857 0.160456 0.603435 1.557933 3.216541 5.695283 9.404877
2025-04-13 0.004213 0.118212 0.538054 1.520150 3.303732 6.041816 10.215752
2025-04-20 0.001176 0.093256 0.503929 1.533742 3.471519 6.509344 11.206050
2025-04-27 0.000158 0.073493 0.474044 1.548758 3.638849 6.978358 12.207015
2025-05-04 NaN 0.051132 0.420617 1.501640 3.690239 7.266991 12.950228
2025-05-11 NaN 0.033225 0.368112 1.447438 3.727379 7.540716 13.690568
2025-05-18 NaN 0.023655 0.341592 1.449647 3.867820 7.983042 14.692788
2025-05-25 NaN 0.014458 0.302617 1.410602 3.924727 8.290622 15.499313
2025-06-01 NaN 0.012548 0.309233 1.495876 4.229348 9.012710 16.948152
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008135 0.287207 1.495577 4.362148 9.452990 17.975082
2025-06-15 NaN 0.007656 0.302093 1.606161 4.725120 10.286660 19.619623
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006255 0.304225 1.678129 5.011487 10.997341 21.085237
2025-06-29 NaN 0.004346 0.294226 1.710535 5.216664 11.574755 22.353274
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002052 0.263806 1.670355 5.265409 11.885230 23.210154
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001121 0.250786 1.684882 5.430609 12.398510 24.390821
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000550 0.239034 1.700904 5.598611 12.918854 25.588338